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A curated resource of recent research on trends shaping Canada's labor market.

Canadian Occupational Projection System 2017 Projections: Industrial Summaries 2017-2026.

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This report presents a comprehensive analysis of the historical and future trends for all 42 industries defined in the Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS). It includes analysis of challenges and opportunities, such as the impacts of new technologies, and a 10-year outlook for real GDP, employment and productivity.

The report covers occupational outcomes over the past ten years (2007-2016) and discusses the COPS projections for the next 10 years (2017-2026). Canada’s employment growth rate declined sharply over 2007-2016, largely induced by rapid adoption of technology and lower demand for commodities following the economic downturn between 2006 and 2009. Although the employment growth rates of most industries are still declining, the rate of decline is slowing compared to the 2007-16 rates. It can also be observed that industries requiring low-wage workers such as food and accommodation services will face difficulties in attracting workers as they will have to compete with other higher-wage industries.

Further, there is a declining growth rate of labour supply which is causing a tightening in the labour market (demand greater than supply) in low-wage sectors. This will likely create challenges for these industries when competing with other employers to attract workers. As a result, these sectors will face additional pressure to increase their productivity level by implementing, for example, new labour-saving technologies.

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2025 | The Conference Board of Canada
Key Takeaway: The economy in Yukon is expected to grow by 41% from 2024 to 2045. However, the existing labour supply cannot meet the territory’s current labour demand.
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2025 | Munro, D., & Lamb C.
Key Takeaway: Work-integrated learning programs that are short, flexible and less resource-intensive increase opportunities for students to develop professional skills and networks.
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2024 | Cukier, W., Saiphoo, A., & Parkin, A.
Key Takeaway: There is an urgent need for employers to develop artificial intelligence (AI) policies and to implement training for the use of AI tools at work.
January, 2025 | Health Canada
Key Takeaway: There’s a significant gap between the supply and the demand for health-care workers in Canada, which is expected to worsen without intervention.
2024 | Bright, J., Enock, F.E., Esnaashari, S., Francis, J., Hashem, Y. and Morgan, D.
Key Takeaway: Generative artificial intelligence is becoming embedded in the everyday work of many sectors—including the public sector.
April, 2024 | Vernède, S., Trzcinski, J. & Pietruszka, M.
Key Takeaway: The availability of both green jobs and jobs requiring green skills is outpacing the number of workers with the right skills.
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