Skip to content
Home > Future of Work > The leaky bucket: A study of…

Future of work

A curated resource of recent research on trends shaping Canada's labour market.

The leaky bucket: A study of immigrant retention trends in Canada

READ THE FULL ARTICLE AT THE SOURCE
Key Takeaway
Canada has seen a significant rise in the number of immigrants choosing to leave the country, signaling a growing issue with long-term immigrant retention

 

This paper examines the patterns of immigrant retention in Canada, emphasizing the rising trend of “onward migration”—by which immigrants leave Canada for other countries.

Using data from the 2021 Longitudinal Immigration Database, this study identifies a significant increase in onward migration since the 1980s, with notable surges in 2017 and 2019. These findings suggest an emerging tendency among immigrants to relocate again—to another country—after residing in Canada. The data show that this occurs most frequently among immigrants who’ve been here for four to seven years. The article notes a 31% higher rate of onward migration in recent immigrant cohorts compared to historical averages and a decline in long-term retention over time.

To counter these trends, the report recommends continuous monitoring of migration rates, greater investment in settlement services, substantial infrastructure development to bolster community services, and improved support for employers to align immigrants’ skills with job opportunities.

The study highlights the critical role of retention in driving Canada’s population and economic growth. It underscores that, while it has long been successful at attracting immigrants, Canada must strategically adjust its immigration policy to decrease the observed onward migration.

New
2026 | OECD Publishing
Key Takeaway: AI is beginning to support vocational education and training (VET) by helping people to identify needed skills, develop training programs, and update qualifications. According to the report, AI works best when it supports human expertise rather than replacing it.
New
2026 | Sweet, M., & Scott, D.
Key Takeaway: Using Canadian survey data collected in 2021 and 2023, researchers found that although the rate of telework has decreased since the pandemic, uncertainty remains about its long-term trajectory and its effects on individuals and communities. This uncertainty makes it difficult to plan for the future.
New
2026 | Jetha, A., Liao, Q., Smith, P., Vu, V., Biswas, A., Smith, B., & Vahid Shahidi, F.
Key Takeaway: Occupations that tend to be stable and secure, with lower levels of precarity, are more likely to be exposed to large language models (LLMs). (Precarious work is characterized by poor employment conditions, such as temporary employment, low wages, unpredictable hours, or involuntary part-time work.) This suggests that LLMs may affect different segments of the labour market than previous types of automation did.
New
June 17, 2026 | Hahmann, T., & Lovei, M.
Key Takeaway: The use of generative AI has increased in the workplace, especially in knowledge industries, where many jobs require a university education.
April, 2024 | Canadian Apprenticeship Forum
Key Takeaway: Canada's apprenticeship system is recovering from the pandemic, with registration numbers on the rise in many Red Seal trades. But apprenticeship completions continue to lag behind pre-pandemic levels, suggesting that some apprentices face challenges completing their chosen journeys.
January 28, 2026 | Gueye, B.
Key Takeaway: Indigenous-owned businesses employ more Indigenous workers and are associated with higher average employment incomes for Indigenous employees.
Load More

Contact Us

350 Sparks Street
Suite 604
Ottawa, Ontario K1R 0A4

[lmic_twitter_icon]
Please enter your name.
Please enter a message.
Please check the captcha to verify you are not a robot.
Scroll To Top